Penn
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 89.1353Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 11-10 221 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 9-15 225 A Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 9-14 228 H Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 8-10 307 A Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 14-10 311 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 9-18 315 N Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 11-10 319 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 9-15 328 H Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 15- 8 404 H Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 10- 8 408 A Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 10- 9 411 A Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 4- 7 418 A Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 8- 7 422 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 20- 8 426 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 13-14 501 N Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 10-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Drexel 11-10 1 7 --- -6.25
221 H Johns Hopkins 9-15 -6 -4 - -2.28
225 A Temple 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.29
228 H Loyola (MD) 8-10 -2 1 - -2.97
307 A Dartmouth 14-10 4 -2 +++ 6.46
311 A Florida 9-18 -9 -6 - -3.35
315 N Georgetown 11-10 1 -1 1.82
319 A Maryland 9-15 -6 -6 -0.11
328 H Columbia 15- 8 7 7 -0.11
404 H Harvard 10- 8 2 2 0.30
408 A Princeton 10- 9 1 -5 ++ 5.87
411 A Yale 4- 7 -3 -4 1.13
418 A Cornell 8- 7 1 -3 + 3.98
422 H Towson 20- 8 12 6 ++ 5.60
426 H Brown 13-14 -1 1 - -2.29
501 N Princeton 10-15 -5 -3 -1.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Drexel 11-10 1 7 --- -6.25 225 A Temple 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.29 221 H Johns Hopkins 9-15 -6 -4 - -2.28 228 H Loyola (MD) 8-10 -2 1 - -2.97 311 A Florida 9-18 -9 -6 - -3.35 426 H Brown 13-14 -1 1 - -2.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Dartmouth 14-10 4 -2 +++ 6.46 408 A Princeton 10- 9 1 -5 ++ 5.87 422 H Towson 20- 8 12 6 ++ 5.60 418 A Cornell 8- 7 1 -3 + 3.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 11-10 -16.65 23.52 -1.37 1.08 47.96
3 H Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 9-15 -5.68 34.49 -1.37 1.08 -3.81
3 A Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 9-14 -13.42 26.75 1.37 1.08 -6.52
3 H Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 8-10 -10.37 29.80 -1.37 1.08 -6.35
3 A Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 14-10 -9.67 30.50 1.37 1.08 69.00
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 9-18 -6.48 33.69 1.37 1.08 -2.77
3 N Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 11-10 -9.94 30.23 -0.00 1.08 65.45
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 9-15 -6.24 33.92 1.37 1.08 -2.64
3 H Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 15- 8 -16.51 23.66 -1.37 1.08 48.26
3 H Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 10- 8 -11.10 29.07 -1.37 1.08 59.99
3 A Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 10- 9 -7.27 32.90 1.37 1.08 74.21
3 A Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 4- 7 -8.00 32.17 1.37 1.08 -3.59
3 A Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 8- 7 -9.15 31.02 1.37 1.08 70.13
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 20- 8 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 1.08 49.81
3 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 13-14 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 1.08 -6.53
3 N Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 10-15 -7.27 32.90 -0.00 1.08 -3.93
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448.65
|
winning pts = 484.8045 losing points = -36.1503
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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